Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.064637 0.071445 0.078889 0.087670 0.097795 0.109163 0.122976
2024-10-20 0.054029 0.063214 0.074060 0.087969 0.105565 0.127403 0.157076
2024-10-27 0.046408 0.056667 0.069514 0.087117 0.111153 0.143672 0.192567
2024-11-03 0.041644 0.052659 0.067146 0.088154 0.118843 0.163790 0.238296
2024-11-10 0.038003 0.049469 0.065179 0.089098 0.126193 0.184618 0.290951
2024-11-17 0.034744 0.046310 0.062704 0.088712 0.131189 0.202571 0.344292
2024-11-24 0.032442 0.044188 0.061367 0.089693 0.138315 0.225441 0.414649
2024-12-01 0.030517 0.042377 0.060216 0.090692 0.145497 0.249958 0.498152
2024-12-08 0.028812 0.040705 0.059051 0.091423 0.152218 0.275152 0.594630
2024-12-15 0.027160 0.038948 0.057540 0.091298 0.157224 0.298030 0.696952
2024-12-22 0.025511 0.037050 0.055595 0.090110 0.159870 0.316369 0.796929
2024-12-29 0.024568 0.036197 0.055294 0.091866 0.168833 0.352025 0.974375
2025-01-05 0.023111 0.034417 0.053284 0.090207 0.170358 0.370220 1.107847
2025-01-12 0.022185 0.033452 0.052611 0.091077 0.177754 0.406617 1.346014
2025-01-19 0.021117 0.032170 0.051260 0.090417 0.181487 0.434208 1.576813
2025-01-26 0.020401 0.031437 0.050835 0.091605 0.189954 0.479406 1.954891
2025-02-02 0.019721 0.030719 0.050370 0.092640 0.198280 0.527883 2.433364
2025-02-09 0.018920 0.029731 0.049313 0.092251 0.202800 0.565512 2.916504
2025-02-16 0.018349 0.029117 0.048919 0.093292 0.211491 0.622867 3.695991
2025-02-23 0.017819 0.028542 0.048552 0.094348 0.220507 0.686632 4.746731
2025-03-02 0.017294 0.027944 0.048090 0.095119 0.228906 0.753030 6.117235
2025-03-09 0.016714 0.027207 0.047291 0.094987 0.234539 0.810754 7.697298
2025-03-16 0.016064 0.026306 0.046092 0.093736 0.236372 0.851711 9.292487